By 2028, the Trump administration will bring the U.S. federal deficit down to roughly 3% of GDP (the long-term historical average), from the current elevated level.
“We're going to set a goal by 2028. We want to get back to the long-term average... about 3% deficit to GDP.” View on YouTube
Bessent set a goal of reaching ~3% deficit-to-GDP by 2028, the long-term historical average. As of August 2026, the target year has not arrived, and the federal deficit remains well above 3% of GDP (roughly 5-6%) despite the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's tax cuts and some tariff revenue. Too early to call right or wrong.