ALL INPredictions

Leaderboard

Every host and guest, with the full verdict breakdown for each (counts and % of that speaker's total predictions). Click a column heading to sort - defaults to sheer number of right predictions. Sitewide: 62.5% (1013 right (29.4%) · 609 wrong (17.7%) of 1622 resolved, 3447 total).

# Speaker Accuracy Right ↓ Wrong Partly Right Too Early Unvalidated Total
1 David Sacks Host 66.4% 295 (36.7%) 149 (18.6%) 180 (22.4%) 89 (11.1%) 90 (11.2%) 803
2 Chamath Palihapitiya Host 56.7% 282 (27.2%) 215 (20.7%) 220 (21.2%) 188 (18.1%) 132 (12.7%) 1037
3 David Friedberg Host 66.8% 177 (27.7%) 88 (13.8%) 136 (21.3%) 134 (21.0%) 103 (16.1%) 638
4 Jason Calacanis Host 59.9% 139 (27.7%) 93 (18.6%) 102 (20.4%) 91 (18.2%) 76 (15.2%) 501
5 Brad Gerstner Guest 55.6% 10 (21.3%) 8 (17.0%) 16 (34.0%) 13 (27.7%) 0 47
6 Ted Cruz Guest 70.0% 7 (70.0%) 3 (30.0%) 0 0 0 10
7 Gavin Baker Guest 54.5% 6 (19.4%) 5 (16.1%) 3 (9.7%) 13 (41.9%) 4 (12.9%) 31
8 Jared Kushner Guest 100.0% 5 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 5
9 Jd Vance Guest 83.3% 5 (62.5%) 1 (12.5%) 1 (12.5%) 1 (12.5%) 0 8
10 Donald Trump Guest 50.0% 5 (45.5%) 5 (45.5%) 0 1 (9.1%) 0 11
11 Tucker Carlson Guest 66.7% 4 (50.0%) 2 (25.0%) 2 (25.0%) 0 0 8
12 Howard Lutnick Guest 33.3% 4 (30.8%) 8 (61.5%) 0 1 (7.7%) 0 13
13 Nate Silver Guest 100.0% 3 (37.5%) 0 1 (12.5%) 4 (50.0%) 0 8
14 Marty Makary Guest 100.0% 3 (75.0%) 0 1 (25.0%) 0 0 4
15 Dave Ricks Guest 100.0% 3 (50.0%) 0 0 3 (50.0%) 0 6
16 David Guest 100.0% 3 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 3
17 Keith Rabois Guest 75.0% 3 (42.9%) 1 (14.3%) 1 (14.3%) 2 (28.6%) 0 7
18 Adena Hefets Guest 75.0% 3 (50.0%) 1 (16.7%) 0 2 (33.3%) 0 6
19 Sarah Friar Guest 100.0% 2 (50.0%) 0 0 2 (50.0%) 0 4
20 Steve Hilton Guest 100.0% 2 (50.0%) 0 1 (25.0%) 1 (25.0%) 0 4
21 Adam Carolla Guest 100.0% 2 (50.0%) 0 0 2 (50.0%) 0 4
22 Rene Haas Guest 100.0% 2 (66.7%) 0 0 1 (33.3%) 0 3
23 Keller Rinaudo Cliffton Guest 100.0% 2 (50.0%) 0 0 2 (50.0%) 0 4
24 Phil Hellmuth Guest small sample 100.0% 2 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 2
25 Scott Bessent Guest 66.7% 2 (22.2%) 1 (11.1%) 3 (33.3%) 3 (33.3%) 0 9
26 Chris Wright Guest 66.7% 2 (33.3%) 1 (16.7%) 0 3 (50.0%) 0 6
27 Robert F Kennedy Jr Guest 66.7% 2 (50.0%) 1 (25.0%) 1 (25.0%) 0 0 4
28 Elon Musk Guest 40.0% 2 (8.7%) 3 (13.0%) 4 (17.4%) 9 (39.1%) 5 (21.7%) 23
29 Pat Gelsinger Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
30 Bill Maris Guest 100.0% 1 (33.3%) 0 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 0 3
31 Daniel Roberts Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
32 Michael Dell Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
33 Chase Lochmiller Guest 100.0% 1 (33.3%) 0 0 2 (66.7%) 0 3
34 Brian Armstrong Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
35 Bob Sternfels Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
36 Hemant Taneja Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
37 Maria Corina Machado Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
38 Neal Mohan Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
39 Rick Caruso Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
40 Eric Schmidt Guest 100.0% 1 (25.0%) 0 1 (25.0%) 2 (50.0%) 0 4
41 Dara Khosrowshahi Guest 100.0% 1 (20.0%) 0 0 4 (80.0%) 0 5
42 Demis Hassabis Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
43 Ben Shapiro Guest 100.0% 1 (16.7%) 0 1 (16.7%) 4 (66.7%) 0 6
44 Doug Burgum Guest 100.0% 1 (20.0%) 0 3 (60.0%) 1 (20.0%) 0 5
45 Lisa Su Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
46 Jared Isaacman Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
47 Nico Rosberg Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
48 Ron Johnson Guest 100.0% 1 (33.3%) 0 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 0 3
49 Sergey Brin Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 1 (50.0%) 0 0 2
50 Sundar Pichai Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
51 Travis Kalanick Guest 100.0% 1 (25.0%) 0 0 3 (75.0%) 0 4
52 John Mearsheimer Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 1 (50.0%) 0 0 2
53 Reid Hoffman Guest 100.0% 1 (33.3%) 0 2 (66.7%) 0 0 3
54 Nassim Taleb Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
55 Palmer Luckey Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (50.0%) 0 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
56 Glenn Greenwald Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
57 Antonio Garcia Martinez Guest small sample 100.0% 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 0 1
58 Pete Buttigieg Guest small sample 50.0% 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 0 2
59 Cyan Banister Guest 50.0% 1 (20.0%) 1 (20.0%) 2 (40.0%) 1 (20.0%) 0 5
60 Tom Emmer Guest small sample 50.0% 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 0 2
61 Ryan Petersen Guest small sample 50.0% 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 0 2
62 Chris Christie Guest small sample 50.0% 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 0 2
63 Antonio Gracias Guest small sample 50.0% 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 0 2
64 Balaji Srinivasan Guest 33.3% 1 (10.0%) 2 (20.0%) 6 (60.0%) 1 (10.0%) 0 10
65 Aaron Cowen Guest small sample 0.0% 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 1
66 Dan Dreyfus Guest 0.0% 0 1 (25.0%) 0 3 (75.0%) 0 4
67 Kyle Samani Guest 0.0% 0 1 (20.0%) 1 (20.0%) 3 (60.0%) 0 5
68 Spencer Pratt Guest 0.0% 0 1 (33.3%) 0 2 (66.7%) 0 3
69 Bryan Johnson Guest 0.0% 0 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 0 3
70 Graham Allison Guest small sample 0.0% 0 1 (50.0%) 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
71 Shervin Pishevar Guest small sample 0.0% 0 1 (50.0%) 0 1 (50.0%) 0 2
72 Mehmet Oz Guest 0.0% 0 1 (20.0%) 2 (40.0%) 2 (40.0%) 0 5
73 Cathie Wood Guest 0.0% 0 1 (16.7%) 0 5 (83.3%) 0 6
74 Rand Paul Guest 0.0% 0 2 (50.0%) 1 (25.0%) 1 (25.0%) 0 4
75 Andrew Schulz Guest small sample 0.0% 0 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%) 0 0 2
76 Other Guest 0.0% 0 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 1 (33.3%) 0 3
77 Vivek Ramaswamy Guest 0.0% 0 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%) 0 0 3
78 Francis Suarez Guest small sample 0.0% 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 0 1
79 Michael Kratsios Guest - 0 0 2 (28.6%) 5 (71.4%) 0 7
80 Dino Mavrookas Guest - 0 0 0 3 (100.0%) 0 3
81 Vibhav Altekar Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
82 Bert Borick Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
83 Jonathan Hurst Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
84 Mark Cuban Guest - 0 0 2 (22.2%) 7 (77.8%) 0 9
85 Mati Staniszewski Guest small sample - 0 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 1
86 Andrew Feldman Guest - 0 0 0 3 (75.0%) 1 (25.0%) 4
87 Ryan Cohen Guest - 0 0 0 3 (100.0%) 0 3
88 Oleg Nodelman Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
89 Dave Mccormick Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
90 Nikesh Arora Guest - 0 0 0 3 (100.0%) 0 3
91 Will Marshall Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
92 Dan Loeb Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
93 Thomas Laffont Guest - 0 0 0 3 (100.0%) 0 3
94 Bill Ackman Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
95 Bill Gurley Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
96 Josh Shapiro Guest - 0 0 0 3 (100.0%) 0 3
97 Michael Intrader Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
98 Arvind Srinivas Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
99 Matt Mahan Guest small sample - 0 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 1
100 Jensen Huang Guest - 0 0 0 4 (100.0%) 0 4
101 Reza Pahlavi Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
102 Emil Michael Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
103 Ray Dalio Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
104 Michael Tracey Guest small sample - 0 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 1
105 Adam Goldstein Guest - 0 0 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%) 0 3
106 George Kurtz Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
107 Jake Loosararian Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
108 David Sacks Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
109 Tareq Amin Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
110 John Martinis Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
111 Jan Sramek Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
112 Andrew Ross Sorkin Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
113 Joe Tsai Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
114 Anatoly Yakovenko Guest small sample - 0 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 2
115 Rich Lyons Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
116 Vlad Tenev Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
117 Eric Schmitt Guest small sample - 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 0 2
118 James Litinsky Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
119 Chris Power Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
120 Paul Buchheit Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
121 Bo Hines Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
122 Bill Hagerty Guest small sample - 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 0 2
123 Tony Robbins Guest - 0 0 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%) 0 3
124 Philippe Laffont Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
125 Brooke Rollins Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
126 Larry Summers Guest small sample - 0 0 2 (100.0%) 0 0 2
127 Chris Williamson Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
128 Joe Lonsdale Guest - 0 0 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%) 0 3
129 Aaron Levie Guest small sample - 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 0 1
130 Jeffrey Sachs Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
131 Jim Litinsky Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
132 Mar Hershenson Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1
133 Draymond Green Guest small sample - 0 0 0 1 (100.0%) 0 1