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Tom Emmer

Guest · 2 tracked predictions · 50.0% accuracy

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2 resolved · 2 total
Right 1 (50.0%)
Wrong 1 (50.0%)

Small sample size (2 predictions): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Democratic Rebrand & more with House Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna Wrong Mon, 20 Jan 2025 04:39:00 +0000 · 00:13:12

Following House Speaker Mike Johnson's aggressive timeline (budget resolution by first week of February 2025, appropriations subcommittee budgets by end of March, House vote in the first two weeks of April), the Republican reconciliation bill (including the 2017 Trump tax cut extensions) will reach President Trump's desk by Memorial Day weekend 2025.

“if we're able to keep to that schedule then you could you could realistically have a Reconciliation Bill to president's Trump's desk by Memorial weekend” View on YouTube
Explanation

Emmer laid out an aggressive timeline aiming to get the reconciliation bill to Trump's desk by Memorial Day weekend 2025 (~May 26). In reality, the House passed its version May 22, but after Senate amendments and further negotiation, the final 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' wasn't signed into law until July 4, 2025 -- about six weeks later than predicted.

Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Democratic Rebrand & more with House Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna Right Mon, 20 Jan 2025 04:39:00 +0000 · 00:29:42

All of President Trump's cabinet nominees will be confirmed by the Senate, including the three expected to face the toughest opposition: Pete Hegseth (Defense), Tulsi Gabbard (DNI), and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (HHS).

“I think everybody's making it... they're starting with Pete, Pete's going to get through the process, they'll move on to Tulsi then they'll move on to Bobby Kennedy Jr, those will probably be their three biggest ones that they'll attack” View on YouTube
Explanation

Emmer predicted all of Trump's cabinet nominees, including Pete Hegseth (Defense), Tulsi Gabbard (DNI), and RFK Jr. (HHS), would be confirmed despite Democratic opposition. All three were confirmed by the Senate in early-to-mid 2025, as were the rest of the cabinet.