Adam Goldstein

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Predictions

The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026 Partly Right Sun, 25 Jan 2026 19:52:00 +0000 · 01:19:17

In Q1 2026, the U.S. DOT will announce five cities selected for eVTOL air-taxi operations, and Archer Aviation will begin regular flights around those cities starting in summer 2026.

“So they are now five cities going to be announced in the first quarter and then we'll start flying in the summer. And that will be the first time you'll see these aircrafts flying in around the cities on a regular basis.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The DOT/FAA selected partners in three states (Texas, Florida, New York) in March 2026, targeting operations as soon as the second half of 2026 -- directionally matching the timing but not the specific "five cities" framing.

The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026 Too Early Sun, 25 Jan 2026 19:52:00 +0000 · 01:24:05

Archer Aviation's (and peers') eVTOL fleets in cities like New York will scale from tens of aircraft initially to hundreds of aircraft over a five-to-ten-year period following launch.

“So, you can start with maybe tens of aircrafts and then, you know, maybe over five, 10 years, you scale it up to hundreds of aircraft.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The predicted five-to-ten-year fleet-scaling horizon has not yet elapsed.

The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026 Too Early Sun, 25 Jan 2026 19:52:00 +0000 · 01:28:16

Archer Aviation CEO Adam Goldstein will personally ride in one of the company's eVTOL aircraft before the end of 2026.

“When will you be willing to get in one, I guess, is the question we all want to answer because we're not getting in until you do it every day. >> Later this year, that'd be my >> Later this year.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The predicted end-of-2026 timeframe has not yet fully elapsed as of this check.