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Jeffrey Sachs

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Predictions

John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024 Too Early Tue, 01 Oct 2024 19:03:00 +0000 · 00:48:37

The International Criminal Court (or the ICJ) will formally find that Israel is in violation of the 1948 Genocide Convention.

“the international criminal court uh uh is likely to find or icj is likely to find that Israel is in violation of the 1948 genocide convention which I very much believe it to be in violation” View on YouTube
Explanation

The ICJ genocide case (South Africa v. Israel) remains in early procedural stages as of mid-2026 -- Israel filed its counter-memorial in March 2026, with a rejoinder deadline not until 2029 and no hearing on preliminary objections expected before late 2026/2027. No final ICJ or ICC ruling on the Genocide Convention question has been issued yet.