Andrew Schulz

Guest · 2 tracked predictions · 0.0% accuracy

Resolved only

1 resolved · 2 total

Right	0
Wrong	1 (50.0%)

Small sample size (2 predictions): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz Partly Right Sat, 15 Mar 2025 00:22:00 +0000 · 01:09:03

In future periods when the S&P 500 has risen roughly 15% over a relatively short timeframe and retail investors’ portfolios have increased substantially, U.S. public attention to cultural ‘bathroom’ controversies (e.g., transgender bathroom debates) will materially decrease, with such issues becoming far less salient in public discourse compared to economic gains.

“I cannot begin to explain how quickly we'll forget about the bathrooms when the S&P is up 15% and you're looking at your portfolio and you're like, if you could take a wherever you want, okay.” View on YouTube

Explanation

The S&P 500 did post strong gains in various periods after 2024, and cultural attention to transgender-related political controversies has fluctuated, but there is no clean, verifiable causal link demonstrating that market gains specifically displaced bathroom-related political salience in the way described.

Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz Wrong Sat, 15 Mar 2025 00:22:00 +0000 · 01:32:25

During Donald Trump’s 2025–2029 presidential term, Elon Musk will consistently maintain a cooperative, pro-Trump posture in public and in major business decisions, avoiding open conflict with Trump because antagonizing Trump would reduce Musk’s influence; Musk will not significantly break with or oppose Trump on any major public issue during this term.

“So I think he's going to behave really well because now he's in the most powerful position he will ever be in. If you want to talk about like power plays, you gotta watch out for JD. That guy is a that guy's high emotional intelligence like that. That's somebody that I would be keeping my eyes on if I'm Trump. But Elon, he's going to be a good he's going to be your best friend because it's only downhill if he pisses Trump off.” View on YouTube

Explanation

Elon Musk did not maintain a consistently cooperative posture with Trump throughout the 2025-2029 term; the two had a highly public and acrimonious falling out in mid-2025 after Musk left the administration, with Musk publicly criticizing Trump's spending bill and Trump threatening to cut Musk's government contracts.