Glenn Greenwald

Guest · 1 tracked prediction · 100.0% accuracy

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1 resolved · 1 total
Right 1 (100.0%)
Wrong 0

Small sample size (1 prediction): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Glenn Greenwald predicts the trend of growing non-white voter support for the Republican Party will continue to increase (worsening the Democratic Party's position) in future elections.

“there are increasing numbers of non-white voters all over the country moving to the republican party under trump and voting increasingly for trump you had a larger share of black voters latino voters asian-american voters than any republican candidate and decades and those trends are only worsening” View on YouTube
Explanation

The trend continued through the 2024 election: Trump nearly doubled his share of Black voters (8% in 2020 to 15% in 2024) and cut the Democratic margin among Hispanic voters from 25 points in 2020 to 3 points in 2024, per Pew's validated-voter study and NBC/NPR exit-poll analysis.