Nicolas Maduro will not leave power as a result of current U.S. pressure, and the United States will not launch a ground war against Venezuela in the near term.
“This is all an effort to get Maduro to leave. I don't think he's leaving. So, I hope we can live with that. But I just don't think right now is the time for a ground war in South America.”
View on YouTube
Explanation
Nicolas Maduro was captured by US forces on January 3, 2026, directly contradicting the prediction that he would not leave power.
The so‑called "big beautiful bill" (B.B.B.) being debated in mid‑2025 will pass Congress and become law.
“And remember when it passes, and I think it likely will. Um, it's the law”
Explanation
Confirmed: the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' passed Congress and was signed into law in July 2025.
Joe Biden will not ultimately be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee in the 2024 U.S. election; instead, he will be replaced by another candidate before the Democratic National Convention.
“I don't think Biden can be the nominee. His only point was to, you know, stop Bernie Sanders, basically. And he's outlived his usefulness. So I think he'll be I'm pretty sure he'll be replaced.”
Explanation
Biden withdrew from the 2024 race in July 2024, before the Democratic National Convention, and Kamala Harris became the party's nominee in his place.
Nikki Haley has effectively no realistic chance of winning the U.S. presidency in a free and fair national election (i.e., she will not win the 2024 general election for president, even if nominated).
“if you get to a place where you think that Nikki Haley has a shot of getting elected in a free and fair election, like you have no idea what's going on in your own country.”
Explanation
Nikki Haley did not win the Republican nomination or the presidency; Trump defeated her in the primary and went on to win the general election.
Gavin Newsom will become the Democratic Party's presidential nominee for the 2024 U.S. election, replacing Joe Biden.
“It's Gavin Gavin. It's Gavin for sure.”
Explanation
Kamala Harris, not Gavin Newsom, became the Democratic nominee after Biden withdrew in July 2024.
If X (Twitter) remains largely free of mass censorship for the 12 months following this December 2023 conversation, the United States will have a "real" (i.e., meaningfully open and competitive) presidential election in 2024; however, powerful interests opposed to this outcome will attempt within that same 12‑month period to constrain or shut down X as a free-speech platform.
“I think this election, if that platform stays free for the next 12 months, you know, I think we have a shot at at least of a real election. But if it does, and I think they're going to do whatever they can to shut it down.”
Explanation
X remained operational through 2024 and the election proceeded and was broadly viewed as legitimate, but there was no clean resolution of an organized effort to specifically 'shut down' X as a platform.
By the end of February 2024, Tucker Carlson will travel to Dubai and record interviews there with multiple heads of state, as part of an ongoing expansion of his show's international coverage.
“we're going to continue to cover the rest of the world. I'm going over to Dubai in February and interviewing a bunch of heads of state over.”
Explanation
Tucker Carlson did continue expanding his show's international coverage with head-of-state interviews in early 2024 (including a high-profile Moscow interview with Vladimir Putin in February 2024), though not specifically framed around a Dubai trip as described.
Tucker Carlson's post-Fox media venture will adopt a business model that includes (a) a paid subscription component hosted on TuckerCarlson.com and (b) advertising sales against his content on both X (Twitter) and his own site, implemented going forward from late 2023.
“You've got to have a subscription component to it. And of course we're selling ads against our content. Um, and we'll be doing that on X and on Tucker Carlson. Com we'll be hosting the, the subscription part of it.”
Explanation
Tucker Carlson's post-Fox media venture did adopt a subscription-plus-advertising model distributed across X and his own website, consistent with the prediction.