ALL INPredictions

Pat Gelsinger

Guest · 2 tracked predictions · 100.0% accuracy

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1 resolved · 2 total
Right 1 (50.0%)
Wrong 0

Small sample size (2 predictions): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding Too Early Wed, 15 Jul 2026 20:55:00 +0000 · 00:23:12

Around 2032-2033, quantum computing will be able to break current encryption (the 'Q-day' event).

“it's probably going to be you know 2020 2032 2033 when we solve you know things like encryption right you know where you know you'll have the fundamental Qday you know kind of implications” View on YouTube
Explanation

The predicted 2032-2033 window is 6-7 years out from August 2026 and can't be evaluated yet.

Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding Right Wed, 15 Jul 2026 20:55:00 +0000 · 00:24:03

Quantum computing will produce meaningful, real-world results before 2030.

“I think the race will be on and my prediction is meaningful results before 2030.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Meaningful, real-world quantum results have already arrived well ahead of the 2030 deadline: Google's Quantum Echoes algorithm demonstrated verifiable quantum advantage in 2025-2026, and IonQ/Ansys reported a practical quantum-advantage medical device simulation outperforming classical HPC.