Bert Borick

Guest · 2 tracked predictions

Resolved only

0 resolved · 2 total

Right	0
Wrong	0

Small sample size (2 predictions): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs Too Early Tue, 28 Jul 2026 20:21:00 +0000 · 00:15:10

1X will ship its Neo household humanoid robot to a handful of early customers in 2026, meeting its self-imposed deadline.

“So, we will ship in 2026. ... there will be a handful of customers that get their Neo in 2026 and I'm so excited and I can't wait.” View on YouTube

Explanation

As of August 2026, 1X has said NEO shipments to early customers will begin before year-end 2026 ('some this year, some later'), but no verified customer deliveries had been confirmed as of mid-2026. The prediction's 2026 window has not fully elapsed.

The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs Too Early Tue, 28 Jul 2026 20:21:00 +0000 · 00:31:14

Robotic 'hard takeoff' — robots building robots, data centers, and chip fabs in a self-sufficient system — will happen within a decade, with a central estimate of around 3 years.

“I am extremely sure that we're less than a decade away from hard takeoff. And when I say hard takeoff, I mean robots building the robots, the data centers, the chip fabs, doing the mining and refining, actually a true abundance of labor, a self-sufficient system... my current bet would be 3 years.” View on YouTube

Explanation

A decade-long forecast for robotic 'hard takeoff' with a ~3-year central estimate; far too early to assess.