If the proposed U.S. Medicare coverage bill for Ozempic (and similar GLP-1 drugs) passes such that all obese Americans—approximately 74% of adults—are eligible at a price of about $1,500 per week, total annual Medicare spending on these drugs will reach roughly $3 trillion per year.
“that company is pouring tens of millions of dollars into lobbying to pass this bill that will make Medicare pay for it. For every American who is obese, that could be 74% of people are now eligible. I think it's $1,500 a week. The cost of that will be 3 trillion a year.”
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Explanation
No such sweeping Medicare GLP-1 coverage bill covering roughly 74% of Americans at $1,500/week was passed; Medicare's GLP-1 drug coverage remained limited and far short of the described $3 trillion annual cost scenario as of 2026.
In the event Donald Trump wins the next U.S. presidential election, his behavior and governing style in his subsequent term will be noticeably different from his first-term behavior as perceived by the public.
“I think if President Trump wins that people are going to see a very different President Trump than they did during the first term.”
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Explanation
Trump's second term has indeed differed in some respects from his first (more aggressive use of executive power, DOGE, tariff policy), which many observers have noted, though this is a subjective characterization rather than a cleanly falsifiable claim.
If Donald Trump wins the upcoming U.S. presidential election, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will serve on Trump’s transition committee with responsibility for helping select personnel for the incoming administration.
“and, you know, I'm going to be on the transition committee picking the people who are going to govern”
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Explanation
Trump won the 2024 election, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was subsequently involved in the transition and went on to serve as US Secretary of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration.
In the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, Russia will not be militarily defeated or forced into an outcome it considers a loss; Russia will ultimately avoid losing the war in Ukraine.
“And the Russians cannot lose this war. We're being told they're losing. They cannot afford to lose this war.”
Explanation
As of mid-2026, Russia has not been militarily defeated in Ukraine; it retains significant territorial control and the war has not ended in a clear Russian loss.