Michael Kratsios

Guest · 7 tracked predictions

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Predictions

The US will put American astronauts back on the moon by 2028 and will have a nuclear reactor operating in space by 2028.

“We're going to have American boots back on the moon in 28. We said we're going to have a nuclear reactor in space by 28.” View on YouTube
Explanation

As of August 2026, NASA is targeting Artemis IV (early 2028) and Artemis V (late 2028) for crewed lunar landings, and has a Space Reactor-1 'Freedom' demonstration nuclear reactor targeted for launch by end of 2028 -- both on track per stated timelines but neither has occurred yet, and NASA's own Inspector General has flagged schedule risk to the 2028 landing target.

The US will have the first elements of a moon base in place by 2030.

“We're going to have the first elements of a moon base by 2030.” View on YouTube
Explanation

NASA and DOE have set a target of a lunar surface nuclear reactor by 2030 as a step toward a moon base, but as of August 2026 no lunar base elements have been deployed yet; the 2030 target has not elapsed.

The US will create a scientifically relevant quantum computer by 2028 under the national quantum initiative.

“president signed an executive order just just last month launching a new national quantum initiative and one of the key goals there that we're trying to do is create a scientifically relevant quantum computer by 2028.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The Trump administration's June 2026 executive orders and DOE's Quantum Genesis initiative formally set a 2028 target for a scientifically relevant, fault-tolerant quantum computer; as of August 2026 this remains an in-progress program with the deadline not yet reached.

The US will achieve a working fusion energy milestone (grid-relevant fusion) by 2035.

“we really want to get the fusion by 2035 and we're trying very hard to get the resources allocated at at DOE and combined with all the private sector investment to to get there.” View on YouTube
Explanation

DOE's June 2026 Fusion Science and Technology Roadmap targets commercial fusion viability by the mid-2030s, consistent with this prediction, but the 2035 target has not elapsed and remains aspirational per DOE's own framing.

Inside America's AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition Partly Right Fri, 23 Jan 2026 04:38:00 +0000 · 00:13:35

2026 will see a major productivity boom for knowledge workers as AI assistants expand beyond coding to generate spreadsheets, presentations, and other office document formats.

“The same types of assistants that have been outputting code can now output any type of format... I think that's one of the big things you're going to see in 2026 is again just this productivity boom for knowledge workers.” View on YouTube
Explanation

AI assistants have genuinely expanded beyond coding into office-document generation and broader knowledge work in 2026, but there's no dataset confirming a measurable 'productivity boom' at the scale implied.

Inside America's AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition Partly Right Fri, 23 Jan 2026 04:38:00 +0000 · 00:20:50

AI coding assistant tools will evolve into full personal digital assistants (connected to email, files, and other data sources) that can perform tasks for users, becoming commonplace in 2026.

“So it feels to me like we just need one more layer of abstraction on top of a tool like that and you'll have your own personal digital assistant... I think in 2026, you could see that these types of tools again started as coding assistants, but now they become personal digital assistants. That could definitely happen this year.” View on YouTube
Explanation

AI coding assistants have evolved into more general agentic personal-assistant tools connected to email and files in 2026, but 'commonplace' adoption at the mainstream-consumer level remains unverified.