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Emil Michael

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Small sample size (1 prediction): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

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Inside the Iran War and the Pentagon's Feud with Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael Too Early Fri, 06 Mar 2026 09:23:00 +0000 · 00:54:54

Within 12 months of this interview (by roughly early 2027), OpenAI's Codex will have closed the capability gap with Anthropic's Claude Code, which is currently ahead.

“I don't think they're, you know, I mean, certainly cloud code was was innovative and ahead. That's true. Um, but I do I believe in 12 months Codeex is not going to be close. I think it will be.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Emil Michael's 12-month timeframe for OpenAI's Codex to close the gap with Claude Code runs to roughly early 2027 and has not elapsed as of this validation. Both companies continue to rapidly ship new coding-model versions, so this cannot yet be evaluated.