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Joe Tsai

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Joe Tsai on US-China Rivalry, AI's Future, Owning the Nets/Liberty, Caitlin Clark's Major Impact Too Early Wed, 08 Oct 2025 09:00:00 +0000 · 00:26:24

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is probably about 20 years away from this interview (i.e., roughly by 2045), a longer timeline than Demis Hassabis's 5-10 year estimate.

“I was just listening to Denny's uh about you know he's predicting 5 to 10 years but if he's saying 5 to 10 years I think AGI is probably 20 years from now and uh uh and and it's because the the emphasis is on the word general.” View on YouTube
Explanation

This is a roughly 20-year forecast (to approximately 2045) made in October 2025, deliberately positioned as a longer timeline than Demis Hassabis's competing 5-10 year AGI estimate. The timeframe is far from elapsed, so this cannot be evaluated now.