Guest · 10 tracked predictions · 70.0% accuracy
| Right | 7 (70.0%) |
| Wrong | 3 (30.0%) |
On Monday January 20, 2025 (inauguration day), President Trump will sign approximately 100 executive orders.
“on Monday we are going to see a flurry of executive orders I think it will be in the neighborhood 100 executive orders” View on YouTube
Trump signed 26 executive orders on Jan 20, 2025 (46 total presidential actions including memoranda and proclamations) -- well short of Cruz's "neighborhood of 100" estimate even counting all action types.
Starting January 20, 2025, the Trump administration will move to secure the border by ending "Catch and Release," detaining apprehended migrants and sending them back rather than releasing them.
“number one secure the border and I believe that will start on January 20th it will start by ending Catch and Release so that when people are apprehended they are detained and they are sent back to where they came from” View on YouTube
On January 20-21, 2025, the Trump administration ended "Catch and Release" -- halting notices to appear and release-on-recognizance, reinstating Remain in Mexico -- exactly as Cruz predicted.
The Trump administration will reverse most of the roughly 90+ Biden-era energy regulations and executive orders, ending the "war on energy," which will lower gas and grocery prices.
“I think there is also a mandate to end the federal government's war on energy on Texas oil and gas um and that will lower prices at the gas pump at the grocery store... I expect pretty much all of those [over 90 Biden-era energy regulations] to be reversed” View on YouTube
Day-one and subsequent executive orders reversed Biden-era offshore drilling bans, ANWR restrictions, and LNG export permit pauses, matching Cruz's prediction of a broad reversal of Biden energy regulations.
The 2017 Trump tax cuts, set to expire in 2025, will be extended by the new Trump administration and Congress.
“the 2017 Trump tax cuts are expiring this year we are going to extend them my hope is we make them bigger and Bolder” View on YouTube
Trump signed the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" on July 4, 2025, permanently extending the 2017 tax cuts and adding new cuts (no tax on tips/overtime, higher SALT cap, senior deduction) -- matching Cruz's hope for cuts extended and made "bigger and bolder."
Every one of Trump's cabinet nominees (as of this January 2025 interview) will ultimately be confirmed by the Senate.
“Pam Bondi is going to be terrific she is going to get confirmed easily I think right now every Trump cabinet nominee gets confirmed” View on YouTube
All of Trump's formally submitted 2025 cabinet nominees were ultimately confirmed by the Senate (21 Senate-confirmed cabinet members as of April 2026); only Matt Gaetz, withdrawn before this interview, failed to reach a vote.
Marco Rubio will be confirmed as Secretary of State with roughly 90-95+ Senate votes, a large bipartisan margin.
“Rubio so Rubio will get 90 votes he could get north of 95 votes it will be a huge bipartisan vote for Rubio” View on YouTube
Marco Rubio was confirmed as Secretary of State 99-0, matching and exceeding Cruz's prediction of 90-95+ bipartisan votes.
Pam Bondi will be confirmed as Attorney General, holding every Republican vote while Democrats largely vote no.
“my guess is I think of the committee the D's are going to vote no but I think Pam will hold every Republican and so I I think she gets through easily” View on YouTube
Pam Bondi was confirmed 54-46, a near-party-line vote where Republicans held and Democrats largely voted no, matching Cruz's prediction.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be confirmed by the Senate as HHS Secretary.
“Bobby Senator I think he makes it through” View on YouTube
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was confirmed by the Senate as HHS Secretary in February 2025, as Cruz predicted.
If a referendum is held, a meaningful share of Greenland's roughly 50,000 residents would vote in favor of becoming part of the United States.
“I find it quite plausible that the greenlanders about 50,000 of them would say wait a second I get to be an American” View on YouTube
Polling around the March 2025 Greenland election found roughly 85% of Greenlanders opposed joining the United States, contradicting Cruz's expectation of significant appetite among Greenlanders for American statehood.
The U.S. will not regain full control of the Panama Canal, but negotiations under Trump will result in lower transit rates for U.S. Navy and commercial ships and the removal of Chinese state-owned enterprise presence from the canal.
“is the final outcome of this that we get total control of the Panama Canal back probably not I think that is a high lift but in many ways I think Trump is negotiating on price and I could easily see an outcome where both Navy ships and commercial ships that are American pay much much lower rates number one and number two critically that we get China the hell out of the canal” View on YouTube
The opposite occurred: the BlackRock-led deal to buy the CK Hutchison ports and reduce Chinese influence collapsed under Chinese regulatory pressure in 2025, and reporting indicates China (via Cosco) stood to gain greater influence over the canal ports rather than being pushed out, and U.S. shipping rate reductions did not materialize.