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Sarah Friar

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2 resolved · 4 total
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Predictions

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute Right Tue, 02 Jun 2026 14:31:00 +0000 · 00:08:39

OpenAI will still not have enough compute to meet demand in 2026, despite its aggressive early compute purchasing.

“last year we were definitely taking some you know arrows in the back about why are they out there buying all this compute and I think thank god we did because in 26 we still won't have enough compute.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Confirmed directly: Friar has publicly reiterated that OpenAI still won't have enough compute in 2026, with demand rising 'almost like a vertical wall.'

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute Right Tue, 02 Jun 2026 14:31:00 +0000 · 00:12:43

Available AI compute supply will remain severely constrained industry-wide through both 2026 and 2027.

“the landscape right now in 26 if you want to buy more compute good luck to you like tell me cuz I don't know where else to find it. I mean as you know... in 27 it's pretty limited as well frankly.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Confirmed: Friar has said the compute shortage will remain 'pretty limited' into 2027, with new data centers not producing usable compute until late 2027 at the earliest.

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute Too Early Tue, 02 Jun 2026 14:31:00 +0000 · 00:14:49

OpenAI (with Jony Ive's team) will unveil its new consumer AI hardware device around the end of this year or early next year.

“we're changing into a consumer substrate that I cannot tell you what it is but by the end of this year we will unveil it early next year I have seen it I've tried it” View on YouTube
Explanation

OpenAI's Chris Lehane said at Davos the device would debut in the second half of 2026, but as of this check it had not yet been formally unveiled, and separate reporting indicates the device won't ship to customers until 2027.

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute Too Early Tue, 02 Jun 2026 14:31:00 +0000 · 00:19:01

OpenAI's Michigan (Selin) data center, part of its Oracle complex, will not deliver usable compute capacity until roughly end of 2027 or early 2028.

“That Michigan data center in Seline, I don't think we will be getting compute out of it until probably end of 27, early 28.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The predicted end-2027/early-2028 delivery window for the Michigan Stargate site's compute hasn't arrived yet, though reporting confirms parts of the OpenAI/Oracle Stargate buildout have already faced delays and scale-backs, consistent with the slow timeline predicted.