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Bob Sternfels

Guest · 2 tracked predictions · 100.0% accuracy

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1 resolved · 2 total
Right 1 (50.0%)
Wrong 0

Small sample size (2 predictions): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Why AI will dwarf every tech revolution before it: robots, manufacturing, AR glasses from CES 2026 Right Thu, 08 Jan 2026 04:17:00 +0000 · 00:17:59

McKinsey will grow its client-facing consultant headcount by 25% next year while simultaneously shrinking its non-client-facing headcount by 25%, achieving a 10% increase in output from that group.

“We're growing that body at 25% next year... At the same time though about half our firm are nonclient-facing folks. We're down 25% in that group with 10% increase in output.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Confirmed almost exactly: McKinsey CEO Bob Sternfels has publicly described the firm growing client-facing headcount 25% while shrinking back-office roles 25% and increasing back-office output 10%, matching the prediction precisely.

Why AI will dwarf every tech revolution before it: robots, manufacturing, AR glasses from CES 2026 Too Early Thu, 08 Jan 2026 04:17:00 +0000 · 00:29:31

McKinsey's count of AI agents will reach parity with its ~40,000 human employees by the end of this year.

“the number of humans we have and the number of personalized agents we have as of last week in McKinsey and I think we'll be at parody before the end of uh, by the end of this year.” View on YouTube
Explanation

As of mid-2026 McKinsey has roughly 20,000-25,000 AI agents versus 40,000 humans, with Sternfels stating the goal is to reach full parity (40,000/40,000) by end of 2026; the predicted deadline hasn't passed yet.