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Ray Dalio

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Small sample size (1 prediction): treat this accuracy figure as anecdotal, not statistically meaningful.

Predictions

Ray Dalio: Our System Is in Jeopardy - Debt, AI & the Cycle That Destroyed Rome Too Early Tue, 03 Mar 2026 10:00:00 +0000 · 00:39:10

Democrats will likely take the House in the 2026 midterm elections.

“I think I think when we have we're going to have the midterm elections, you're going to go past the midterm elections with probably that uh Democrats will take the house and be and maybe I don't know, it's going to be difficult.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The 2026 midterm elections have not yet occurred as of the current date, so this cannot be conclusively scored. As of mid-August 2026, Democrats are the clear favorites to retake the House per polling and forecast models (an ~6-8 point lead on the generic congressional ballot, needing only 3 net seat flips), directionally consistent with this prediction, but the outcome itself is not yet determined.