Tue, 15 Oct 2024 15:42:00 +0000
Vance predicts that if elected in 2024, Trump will again be a successful president, as Vance judges he was in his first term.
“of course I'm running as his running mate I think he'll do it again” View on YouTube
Whether the second Trump term is judged 'successful' is a subjective, ongoing assessment that can't be conclusively resolved this early in the term.
Vance predicts the American people will elect Donald Trump as the next president in the 2024 election.
“assuming the American people make him the next president pres and I think that they will” View on YouTube
Confirmed: Donald Trump won the November 2024 presidential election.
Vance predicts that, in a Trump administration, Congress will cooperate enough in the first couple of years to largely secure the budgetary and appropriations items the administration wants.
“I I do think that the Congress is willing to work with us at least you know the first couple of years of an Administration you can largely get the budgetary and Appropriations things that you need” View on YouTube
With unified Republican control of Congress in 2025, the administration secured its major budgetary and appropriations priorities, including the reconciliation-passed 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act.'
A Trump-Vance administration's deportation effort will begin by removing roughly one million "criminal migrants" (those who committed violent crimes) from the country.
“you start out with the million people who are what we call criminal migrants people who have committed violent crimes in some form or another get them out of our country” View on YouTube
ICE deportations, including of individuals with criminal records, ramped up substantially in 2025-2026, but no independently verified figure confirms the specific claim of one million criminal-migrant removals as the administration's starting point.
Vance predicts the flow of millions of migrants crossing the southern border each year will stop once Donald Trump becomes president.
“you've got to stop the millions of people flowing across the southern border every single year it happened because of KLA Harris's policies it's going to stop when Donald Trump is President” View on YouTube
Illegal border crossings dropped dramatically to historic lows under the Trump administration in 2025, consistent with the prediction.
Vance predicts that massively reducing regulatory burden in transportation, energy, and home construction could add roughly 150 to 300 basis points of additional U.S. GDP growth.
“I don't know how easy it is to get another 300 bips of growth but I think you can get a lot more growth whether it's 300 or 150 just by massively reducing the amount of regulatory burden in the real economy” View on YouTube
US GDP growth has not gained the predicted additional 150-300 basis points from deregulation; growth has remained in the roughly 2-4% range through 2025-2026 rather than showing that scale of structural acceleration.