Wed, 08 Apr 2026 15:52:00 +0000
Jason predicts Josh Shapiro's 2026 re-election bid for Pennsylvania governor will be a near-certain win ("a shoe-in").
“You're going to run for governor again. Assume that's going to be a shoe-in. You know, you got to do the work, but” View on YouTube
Shapiro secured the Democratic nomination unopposed and leads prediction markets at roughly 96% to win a second term, strongly supporting a 'shoe-in' framing, but the November 3, 2026 general election hasn't happened yet.
Shapiro predicts about 320,000 additional Pennsylvanians will lose Medicaid coverage next year (2027) due to federal cuts from Trump's budget bill, bringing the total number of Pennsylvanians losing health care to roughly 500,000.
“I've got 500,000 Pennsylvanians who are going to lose their health care. I've got 120,000 who have already lost their health care. About another 320,000 or so were likely to lose Medicaid next year.” View on YouTube
No independently verified figure confirms the specific 320,000-additional-Medicaid-loss number for Pennsylvania in 2027.
Shapiro predicts 26 rural hospitals in Pennsylvania are likely to close due to operating deficits worsened by federal Medicaid cuts.
“I've got 26 rural hospitals that are likely to shutter because these are rural hospitals that are working at an operating deficit and they're relying so much on Medicaid which has been slashed by the federal government.” View on YouTube
No independent source confirms the specific figure of 26 Pennsylvania rural hospitals closing.
Shapiro predicts it will likely take years for gas prices to come back down, even if the Israel-Iran war ends soon.
“Probably years before those gas prices come down even if the war, you know, hopefully ends, you know, very very soon.” View on YouTube
The Iran-Israel conflict situation and gas prices have continued evolving; no clear multi-year confirmation of sustained elevated gas prices specifically tied to this war is established.