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Winning the AI Race Part 1: Michael Kratsios, Kelly Loeffler, Chris Power, Shyam Sankar, Paul Buchheit, Jake Loosararian

Wed, 23 Jul 2025 20:09:00 +0000

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Chris Power Partly Right 00:26:11 techeconomy

Hadrian's new Arizona factory (roughly 4x the size of its LA facility) will be online and launched by Christmas 2025, about six months after this interview.

“I'll show you our new factory that's launching AI powered in six months in the great state of Arizona... launching by Christmas. We signed a lease a couple of weeks ago. It'll be online in 6 months.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Hadrian's Arizona 'Factory 3' in Mesa held its ribbon-cutting and opened on January 29, 2026 -- close to the '6 months after this interview' framing (the episode was recorded/published around July 2025) but about a month past the 'by Christmas' framing Power also gave in the same quote. Evidence is mixed depending on which part of the compound claim is weighted.

Paul Buchheit Too Early 01:06:12 techscience

Within 20 years of this interview (by approximately 2045), AI models will be able to predict how a drug affects the human body without physical testing, and will be more predictive than today's clinical trials.

“in 20 years we'll be able to know how a drug affects the body without ever actually testing it. And my prediction is actually our our AI models will be more predictive than today's clinical trials.” View on YouTube
Explanation

This is an explicit 20-year prediction (to approximately 2045) made in 2025. AI drug-discovery/prediction tools are advancing but nowhere near replacing clinical trials as of 2026, and the timeframe has not elapsed, so this cannot be evaluated yet.