Following the June 2025 U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, Israel (including Mossad/IDF) will continue conducting operations aimed at destabilizing the current Iranian regime, i.e., there will be further Israeli covert or overt actions against key Iranian regime figures or assets rather than a quiet, peaceful de-escalation.
“I've got to imagine that there's going to continue to be effort to destabilize whatever regime remains in Iran by Israel, Mossad. And this isn't going to be kind of a quiet, peaceful transition... I think that they've taken their first shot and I don't think it's their last.”
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Explanation
Israel continued covert and overt operations aimed at Iranian regime targets and proxies after the June 2025 ceasefire, rather than pursuing a quiet, peaceful de-escalation.
Despite the June 2025 ceasefire, armed conflict between Israel and Iran will resume in the future (i.e., there will be additional military or proxy clashes beyond the June 2025 ‘12‑day war’ episode).
“This is not over. Iran and Israel are mortal enemies and we have a cease fire. Here we have a pause in the action, but it's going to flare up again at some point.”
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Explanation
Israel-Iran tensions did flare up again after the June 2025 ceasefire, with continued strikes, covert operations, and rhetoric confirming the conflict was not fully over.
In the coming years, additional countries in the Middle East and/or Muslim-majority world will formally join or normalize relations with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords or an explicit extension of them.
“Steve Wittkopf spoke about the fact that you should expect the Abraham Accords to expand.”
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Explanation
No major new country formally joined the Abraham Accords in the immediate period following this prediction, though renewed diplomatic efforts toward expansion (including with Saudi Arabia) continued to be discussed.
Beginning with the June 2025 New York City mayoral primary, there will be a growing wave over the next several election cycles of democratic socialist or similarly left-populist candidates winning major municipal offices in U.S. cities.
“For me, it feels like actually a little bit of a beginning of a wave that's going to continue to sweep over this country, starting in cities.”
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Explanation
Following Mamdani's June 2025 primary win, several other left-populist/democratic-socialist candidates gained momentum in municipal races through 2025-2026, consistent with a growing urban wave.
Within the next few U.S. election cycles, the policy positions and rhetoric of leading national Democratic figures such as Kamala Harris will be perceived as relatively moderate or even conservative compared to the increasingly socialist platform adopted by the party’s rising urban and youth wing.
“I jokingly say that Kamala Harris is going to look like a conservative candidate pretty soon.”
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Explanation
Kamala Harris did not run for or hold major office after her 2024 loss, so her positioning relative to a more socialist-leaning party wing has not been clearly tested in practice.
The electoral success of Zoran Mamdani in New York in 2025 marks the start of a broader national shift in which socialist-style policies (e.g., aggressive redistribution, rent freezes, large minimum wage hikes) gain majority political support across much of the United States over the next decade.
“that is the beginning of a wave that will sweep over America.”
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Explanation
Mamdani's win did energize a broader progressive/socialist wave in some cities, but a decade-long trend toward majority national support for such policies cannot yet be confirmed this early.
Over the coming years, the dominant ideological alignment in U.S. national politics will solidify into a binary choice between a populist-nationalist Republican Party (MAGA-style) and a populist-socialist Democratic Party, with traditional neoliberal and neoconservative factions losing meaningful influence.
“Those are the choices for the future. Let me tell you, you can basically go with you're going to have a populist socialism in the Democratic Party, or you're going to have a populist nationalism in the Republican Party... your choices are MAGA or socialism. Which one do you want?”
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Explanation
US politics did continue polarizing along populist-nationalist versus populist-left lines through 2025-2026, though centrist and establishment factions in both parties retained meaningful influence rather than being fully eclipsed.
Over the next roughly 40–50 years (counting from 2025), New York City will deteriorate to conditions similar to those of New York City in the 1980s (high crime, disorder), before cycling back again.
“So I suspect what happens is that New York takes a 40 or 50 year journey, and at some point it will look like New York of the 80s.”
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Explanation
This is a 40-50 year prediction that cannot be meaningfully evaluated this early in the window.
New York City real estate prices will experience a major decline ("crash and burn") in the coming years following the implementation of the current socialist-style policy agenda.
“But I would be short New York real estate. I think it's going to crash and burn.”
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Explanation
New York City real estate has not clearly crashed as of mid-2026, though there has been some softening in certain segments amid new policy uncertainty under the incoming Mamdani administration; too early to call decisively.
By around 2027, there will be human clinical trials underway testing stem‑cell/exosome‑based FOXO3 age‑reversal therapies similar to the reported monkey study, with the goal of observing comparable age‑reversal effects in humans.
“I think that we should expect over the next couple of years these sorts of trials to kind of begin to see if we can see similar results.”
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Explanation
Some early-stage human trials related to cellular reprogramming and age-reversal approaches have begun by 2026-2027, though broad clinical trials replicating the specific monkey study results were not clearly confirmed at scale.
Within roughly 10 years from 2025 (by about 2035), there will be an injectable or infusion‑based age‑reversal therapy (based on stem cells/Yamanaka‑style or related mechanisms) available on the market for average consumers that can address aging‑related problems or extend healthy lifespan.
“Yes, there are clinicals underway right now, And I know of the clinical trials that are underway... very early... So maybe a decade from now.”
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Explanation
A roughly 10-year horizon (to around 2035) for a market-available age-reversal therapy is far too early to evaluate as of mid-2026.
If the Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell begins an aggressive interest‑rate cutting program in the near term (starting in 2025), the S&P 500 index will rapidly rerate upward, reaching approximately 7,000 within a short period following the onset of that cutting cycle.
“I think the the free money trade here is to be levered long. I think you can make a lot of money right now... if Powell starts an aggressive cutting program, either because he has to or because he's trying to keep his job, I mean, man, you could see the S&P at 7000. Very quickly.”
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Explanation
The S&P 500 remained well below 7,000 through the 2025 Fed cutting cycle, trading roughly in the 6,000-6,900 range through much of 2025-2026 rather than rapidly hitting 7,000.
In September 2025, Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve will implement a 25‑basis‑point cut to the federal funds rate.
“It's categorical he'll do it in September. He's going to do it 25 in September.”
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Explanation
The Fed did implement a 25 basis point rate cut in September 2025, matching the prediction exactly.