Fri, 18 Dec 2020 12:46:51 +0000
Kamala Harris will become President of the United States and will be the first female U.S. president, either during Joe Biden’s first term (via succession) or by winning the election if Biden does not run for a second term.
“I think she winds up actually becoming president and will be the first female president of the year of in the history of the United States. And that could happen in the first term. Or if Joe Biden doesn't run for a second term” View on YouTube
Nancy Pelosi will lose the Speakership by around January 2023 (after the 2022 midterms) and will be effectively headed into retirement from top House leadership at that time.
“I predict that she is set to not be speaker anymore in two years and headed for retirement.” View on YouTube
Elon Musk will become the richest person in the world and, eventually, the first individual with a net worth of at least $1 trillion.
“I think Elon seems to be on track to be, uh, not only the world's richest man, but the world's first trillionaire.” View on YouTube
Post‑COVID, consumer demand for traditional movie theaters (e.g., chains like AMC) will collapse such that moviegoing will not recover to pre‑2020 norms; audiences largely will not return to theaters.
“No one's gonna go back to the movie theaters.” View on YouTube
Theatrical moviegoing will eventually recover strongly after COVID, and major tech platforms will acquire U.S. theater chains: Amazon will buy one major chain and Netflix will buy another, integrating theater access with their subscription offerings.
“they're gonna come back strong, they're gonna come back stronger. I think Amazon will buy one chain. I think Netflix buys the other.” View on YouTube
The Black Lives Matter movement will persist and will drive significant, lasting societal and policy changes (including corporate, state, and regulatory actions) over the coming years.
“I think that the, uh, the movement itself is going to spawn a lot of change.” View on YouTube
Disney+ will establish itself as a long‑term, major rival to Netflix in the global streaming market.
“I don't know if they'll pass them, but they're now certainly going to be a major rival to them.” View on YouTube
Disney+ will surpass Netflix in size (e.g., subscriber count or comparable primary scale metric) in the future.
“I think they I think they pass them.” View on YouTube
With the Biden administration taking office in 2021, climate change policy and climate‑related initiatives will regain momentum in the United States.
“I think climate change is going to have momentum with the new administration at least coming into office in the US.” View on YouTube
By sometime in 2021, public and platform deference to the World Health Organization (W.H.O.) on COVID‑related guidance will substantially fade, and the W.H.O. will no longer be widely treated as a key authority in public discourse or major platforms’ content policies.
“I look forward to next year when nobody cares about the W.H.O. anymore.” View on YouTube
Nikola Corporation’s equity value will collapse to essentially zero (pennystock levels, e.g., around $0.60 per share) and the company will ultimately be worth effectively nothing.
“It's now worth 6 billion. I predict it will be worth $0.60. I kid you not, this company will go to zero, is my prediction” View on YouTube
Nikki Haley will successfully consolidate center-right Republican politics and become the Republican Party’s presidential nominee in the 2024 U.S. election, with the groundwork becoming visible in 2022–2023.
“Smartest political move. Which you will not see until 2022 or 23, but laid the groundwork this year and I thought it was brilliantly done. Was Nikki Haley, who I think will be the Republican nominee for president in 2024... I think if you want to find, um, somebody to consolidate centre right politics in 2024, uh, my money would be on Nikki Haley.” View on YouTube
Pete Buttigieg’s role as Secretary of Transportation will position him to become either a future U.S. vice‑presidential nominee or presidential nominee, and he will emerge as a prominent national political figure (“one of the bright stars”) in subsequent election cycles after 2020.
“Pete Buttigieg going on Fox recently. I think he did a masterful job... and then he gets himself this, uh, Secretary of transportation. And I think he's set up to either be the VP or the presidential candidate, uh, in the future. And he's I think he's going to be one of the bright stars.” View on YouTube
Andrew Yang will run for Mayor of New York City in the next New York City mayoral election following this December 2020 recording (i.e., the 2021 NYC mayoral race).
“My understanding is he's going to run for mayor of New York.” View on YouTube
In 2021, there will be a significant recall effort in California targeting state-level leadership (implicitly Governor Gavin Newsom), substantial enough to be characterized as a “big recall.”
“this is why there could be a big recall next year in California.” View on YouTube
In 2021, the U.S. Congress will hold additional high‑profile public hearings in which major tech CEOs are grilled in a similar, highly theatrical manner to the 2020 hearings referenced.
“there's going to be more of it next year.” View on YouTube