Fri, 25 Jun 2021 03:07:14 +0000
Eric Adams will win the 2021 New York City mayoral election and become the next mayor.
“Look, I mean, Eric Adams is going to be the next mayor of New York City.” View on YouTube
Eric Adams won the 2021 New York City mayoral election.
Crime will remain a dominant political issue across the United States for the next few years following mid‑2021.
“crime is the huge issue, and I think it's going to reverberate throughout America for the next few years.” View on YouTube
Crime remained a dominant political issue across the United States for years following mid-2021.
Over the next couple of years after mid‑2021, many additional emerging variants of SARS‑CoV‑2 will appear globally, and there will also be an increasing number of risks from potentially engineered biological agents.
“we are going to have a lot more of these kind of emerging variants over the next couple of years with SARS-CoV-2, but also with potentially engineered” View on YouTube
Multiple significant SARS-CoV-2 variants (Delta, Omicron, and its many sublineages) emerged over the following years.
In the fall of 2021 there will be additional notable SARS‑CoV‑2 variants beyond Delta, leading to a difficult winter 2021–2022 in terms of COVID impact.
“we hear about the Delta variant. Now we're going to hear about other variants in the fall. It's going to be a tough winter. We cannot shut down.” View on YouTube
The Omicron variant emerged in the fall of 2021 and drove a severe winter 2021-2022 COVID wave, as predicted.
Over time after June 2021, substantially more information will emerge about a cover‑up related to the Wuhan lab and COVID‑19 origins, and the revelations will increasingly implicate those involved ("get worse and worse").
“What this database thing represents is, look, there was a cover up here, and that cover up has fingerprints and the information is leaking out. And we are seeing more and more information is going to come out. I actually disagree with you guys that we're not going to learn more about what happened. I think we're gonna learn a lot more, and it's gonna get worse and worse.” View on YouTube
The COVID lab-leak origin theory gained substantial credibility and additional information emerged over subsequent years, but a definitive proven 'cover-up' with escalating revelations has been contested and not conclusively resolved.
Within the next decade after 2021, small bioreactor-based "vaccine printers" capable of receiving digital genetic code and locally producing vaccines will be deployed around the world by companies pursuing this technology.
“we will have vaccine printers around the world. There are going to be small bioreactors. You're going to be able to effectively ship code to them. They're going to print vaccines. There are several companies pursuing this.” View on YouTube
Small-scale, code-driven local vaccine production technology has advanced but has not been widely deployed at scale within the predicted decade window, which has not fully elapsed.
Over the decade following mid‑2021 (by around 2031), Amazon and Apple will lose significant relative competitive ground in commerce/financial services to Shopify, Square (Block), and Stripe, such that these challengers will materially erode Amazon’s and Apple’s dominance in those areas.
“I think that over the next decade, because of exactly what you guys said, that Apple is run by managers who don't want to see loss but aren't driven to gain. You're going to end up seeing Amazon and Apple likely as well lose to the likes of Shopify and Square and Stripe. Shopify, Square and Stripe are all formidable threats to Amazon over time.” View on YouTube
This prediction concerns competitive dynamics through around 2031, a timeframe not yet elapsed; Amazon and Apple have so far remained dominant.
Over the next 10–15 years from 2021, Amazon, Apple, Shopify, and Stripe will all remain successful and continue to be major winners in their respective markets, rather than any one of them being displaced or substantially diminished by the others.
“I'll give you a different take. I think that all four companies are going to win. ... Yeah, they're going to continue to win.” View on YouTube
This prediction concerns a 10-15 year window extending through the early-to-mid 2030s that has not yet elapsed.
From mid‑2021 onward, the current wave of cancel culture and political hysteria will subside; within the next several years, public discourse (the Overton window) will broaden, with significantly fewer instances of people being socially or professionally “canceled” over years‑old statements, and institutions and audiences will become more accepting of controversial or non‑mainstream ideas.
“here's my prediction. I think the pirates are assembling themselves, whether it's Coinbase saying we're not going to have politics at work or Antonio and, uh, the end of cancel culture, the end of taking the historical left or the historical or the trolling. Right? Seriously, I feel like that is ending and this great, like nightmare of hysteria, uh, and is going to end and the Overton Window is going to blossom and open up and people are gonna, uh, be more innovative and accepting of new ideas and be reasonable and not cancel people who wrote something five or 10 or 20” View on YouTube
Cancel culture dynamics have shifted significantly (including changes to Twitter/X's moderation approach), but discourse remains highly polarized and contentious rather than clearly having broadly opened up as predicted.
By the end of the summer of 2021 (roughly by late September 2021), David Sacks will weigh less than Jason Calacanis.
“Guys, I'm on a I'm on a diet. I predict by the end of the summer, I'll be thinner than Jason.” View on YouTube
There is no public record available to verify the relative body weights of David Sacks and Jason Calacanis by the end of summer 2021.