ALL INPredictions

Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up

Fri, 21 Aug 2026 14:14:00 +0000

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Jason Calacanis Too Early 00:37:00 techgovernment

New York, Boston, and Washington DC will ban Waymo robotaxis and limit autonomous vehicles with licensing restrictions.

“I will predict it now, they're going to ban Waymos in New York, Boston, DC, and they're going to limit them with licenses.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Partially playing out but not fully resolved: NY Gov. Hochul blocked Waymo's robotaxi expansion outside NYC in February 2026, and Boston officials have been considering legislation to explicitly ban driverless vehicles. However, DC remains on Waymo's 2026 expansion list with no reported ban or license-limiting restriction as of August 2026, so the prediction as stated (all three cities) has not fully materialized.

David Sacks Too Early attribution: medium 01:03:40 politics

In the 2026 midterms, Democrats will win the House but Republicans will retain control of the Senate.

“I think it is legitimate to say that they are favored to win the House. I think the Senate right now is a toss-up and I would say that the Republicans will ultimately keep it if I had to predict right now.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The 2026 midterm elections have not yet occurred (voting is in November 2026). As of August 2026, Polymarket and forecasters show Democrats favored for the House (~85%) and the Senate roughly a toss-up to Democrat-leaning (~55% per one model), consistent with the 'toss-up' framing, but no result yet exists to confirm or refute either the House or Senate portion of the prediction.

David Friedberg Too Early attribution: medium 01:09:12 politics

A wave of support for democratic-socialist policy will build through the 2026 midterms and culminate in a candidate like AOC winning the presidency in 2028.

“there is going to be some sort of big movement towards more socialist policies that we're going to see play out between now and 2028... I continue to believe I think someone like an AOC becomes president.” View on YouTube
Explanation

A forecast about a 2028 presidential outcome; 2028 has not happened yet, so this cannot be assessed. The 2026 midterms referenced as an intermediate marker also have not yet occurred.