The newly launched Tesla mezcal product and the forthcoming All‑In branded liquor will both sell out of their available inventory shortly after their respective launches.
“Well, it'll be.
B [00:17:39.390]: Sold out by the time we launch our.
K [00:17:41.030]: We're both going to be sold out.”
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Explanation
Both Tesla-branded and All-In branded liquor products generated buzz at launch, but clear confirmation of both fully selling out their inventory shortly after launch is not well documented.
Following the first 2024 Trump–Biden presidential debate (scheduled for late June 2024), Joe Biden will perform so poorly that the Democratic Party will replace him as its presidential nominee with Gavin Newsom during that same month, resulting in a Trump vs. Gavin Newsom general election matchup in 2024.
“This is why I think Biden's getting hot swapped this month. You heard it here first... Gavin is going to be running for president. It's going to be Trump and Gavin. They are hot swapping Biden after this first debate. Biden is going to get demolished by Trump in the debate. It's going to be elder abuse. He's getting wiped out and hot swapped. You heard it here first.”
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Explanation
Biden was indeed replaced as the Democratic nominee following his poor debate performance, but by Kamala Harris, not Gavin Newsom, and the general election was Trump vs. Harris, not Trump vs. Newsom.
In the November 2024 U.S. presidential election, the Democratic Party will lose to Donald Trump in a landslide (i.e., a very large margin in Electoral College and/or popular vote), given that they do not significantly change course or replace Biden.
“The Democrats need to realize they're out of sync with America... they're the diesel candidate party now, and they just have to flip this thinking they're going to get demolished. It is going to be a landslide at this point.”
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Explanation
While Trump did win the November 2024 election, it was a relatively narrow victory in the popular vote (about 1.5 points) and a modest Electoral College margin, not the described landslide, and this was after Biden had already been swapped for Harris, altering the conditional's premise.
Within 30 days of June 7, 2024, Donald Trump will publicly shift his stance and come out in support of electric vehicles (EVs), softening or reversing his prior anti‑EV rhetoric.
“I bet you next week or maybe in 30 days I'm making a prediction here. You bank the prediction in 30 days. Trump comes out magically in support of EVs.”
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Explanation
Trump did later develop a much friendlier posture toward EVs/Tesla following his alliance with Elon Musk starting mid-2024, but a clean, sudden public pro-EV policy reversal within 30 days of June 7, 2024 did not occur; the warming took shape more gradually over the following months.
Within 30–60 days of June 7, 2024, assuming Joe Biden has not been replaced as the Democratic nominee, at least ten extremely high‑profile public figures (higher profile than Doug Leone, Chamath Palihapitiya, and David Sacks) will publicly endorse Donald Trump for president.
“I'd say in the next 30 to 60 days, you're going to see ten incredibly high profile people come out in support of Trump if Biden isn't swapped out. And when I say high profile, I have the inside line on this extremely high profile people. Not just Doug Leone, not just David Sax. And it is going to be about ten high profile people who are much higher profile respectfully than Chamath and Sacks and Doug Leone.”
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Explanation
The premise of this conditional prediction (Biden not being swapped out) did not hold, since Biden withdrew from the race in late July 2024, so the prediction's specific scenario was never tested as stated.
The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) initiative backed by BlackRock and Citadel will file SEC registration documents sometime in 2024, begin facilitating stock trades in 2025, and host its first new company listing in 2026.
“So here's the plan timeline file an SEC registration docs later this year. Start facilitating trades next year. Host the first new listing in 2026.”
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Explanation
The Texas Stock Exchange did file its Form 1 SEC registration in January 2025 (roughly matching the 'later this year/next year' framing, shifted by about six months) and received SEC approval in September 2025, with its first listings anticipated for late 2026, broadly tracking the predicted timeline though slightly delayed relative to the original 2024/2025/2026 filing-trading-listing sequence.
Apple’s integration of advanced AI (e.g., a powerful chatbot/Siri upgrade) into future $1,000+ iPhones will not trigger a major new hardware-upgrade supercycle; over the next few years, the bulk of iPhone users will not upgrade primarily because of on-device AI features, leading Apple to be disappointed with AI-driven incremental iPhone sales relative to expectations.
“the idea that Apple with this $1,000 device is all of a sudden going to figure out that this is why you're going to upgrade, I think is pretty speculative, and I think they're going to be disappointed. I think people have realized that four generations ago was more than enough.”
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Explanation
Apple's AI-branded iPhone features (Apple Intelligence) did not trigger a major upgrade supercycle; iPhone sales growth remained modest through 2024-2025 and analysts widely noted disappointing AI-driven upgrade demand.
During the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season immediately following this June 7, 2024 episode (i.e., over the next few months of 2024), the Atlantic basin will experience hurricanes that are, in aggregate, larger, stronger, and more frequent than in any previously recorded Atlantic hurricane season.
“the National Hurricane Center, a lot of the climatologists are forecasting that over the next couple of months, we could see and should expect to see probabilistically much larger, stronger, bigger, more frequent hurricanes than we've ever seen historically. So we'll see if it plays out.”
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Explanation
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was indeed unusually active and destructive, featuring two Category 5 storms (Beryl and Milton) and becoming the third-costliest season on record, consistent with forecasts of larger, stronger, more frequent hurricanes.
If Atlantic sea surface temperatures continue their then-current trajectory without tapering off before late summer 2024, the August–October 2024 period will set new record-high sea surface temperatures in the main Atlantic hurricane formation region, and this will in turn lead to multiple massive hurricane events originating in the Atlantic that make landfall on the continental United States in that same 2024 season.
“if this does not taper off or level off, we will see record sea surface temperatures in the August to October time frame, which will almost certainly push massive hurricane events out of the Atlantic. And they will find their way towards the continental U.S..”
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Explanation
Record warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures in 2024 did contribute to a hyperactive hurricane season with multiple major hurricanes (including Helene and Milton) making landfall on the continental US.
Between roughly 2024 and 2064, advancements and deployment driven primarily by economic incentives (e.g., cheaper clean energy and related technologies), rather than ideological climate activism, will significantly mitigate global warming trends relative to the trajectory implied by current emissions—i.e., humanity will make substantial, measurable progress in reducing or reversing the rate of global temperature increase worldwide.
“I think that we're going to do wonders over the next 20 and 30 and 40 years all over the world to push back on the general state of warming. But I think it will have happened because the economic incentives aligned, not because of. A philosophical or emotional framing of the issue.”
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Explanation
This is a multi-decade (2024-2064) projection about economically-driven climate mitigation that cannot be meaningfully evaluated this early in the timeframe.