Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough

Fri, 29 Aug 2025 23:10:00 +0000

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Jason Calacanis Right 00:01:28

The fourth annual All-In Summit will take place as an in-person event in Los Angeles on September 8–9, 2025.

“What an amazing event we're going to have September 8th and ninth in Los Angeles. The fourth annual All in Summit.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The fourth annual All-In Summit did take place in Los Angeles on September 8-9, 2025, as scheduled.

Jason Calacanis Partly Right 00:07:56 venture

Founder University will expand to Asia, resulting in the program operating in three cities total starting in calendar year 2026.

“And then we're going to launch it in Asia next. So we'll have it in three cities starting next year.” View on YouTube
Explanation

Founder University has continued to expand its programming, but clear, specific confirmation of an Asia-based location launching in 2026 to reach exactly three cities total is not readily verifiable from available sources.

Jason Calacanis Partly Right 00:08:45 venture

Founder University, in partnership with Sanabil (phonetic: Sonabel), will hold a week-long program in Riyadh in November 2025, with B physically spending a week there.

“We will be bringing our Founder University along with Sonabel, which is the leading venture firm in the region. They're in November, so I'm going to be spending a week there” View on YouTube
Explanation

There is no clear, specific public confirmation available of a week-long Founder University program held in Riyadh in partnership with Sanabil in November 2025 matching this exact description.

Jason Calacanis Right 00:36:26 economy

The Federal Reserve will cut its policy rate at the September 2025 FOMC meeting.

“And there's going to be a rate cut in September. So it's all good.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The Federal Reserve did cut rates at its September 2025 meeting, confirming this prediction.

David Friedberg Too Early 00:48:45 economygovernment

The Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund will become insolvent (unable to fully pay scheduled benefits) at some point between 2030 and 2033.

“Social Security, which is going to go bankrupt sometime between 2030 and 2033.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The Social Security Trust Fund's projected insolvency date (still projected in official Trustees' reports for the early 2030s) has not yet arrived, so this cannot be conclusively verified.

Chamath Palihapitiya Partly Right 01:03:52 economymarkets

Compared to the 2010–2024 period, the number of large corporate bankruptcies in the United States will increase over the next several years (post-2025), rather than decline, as the effects of the zero-interest-rate era and renewed competitive pressures work through the economy.

“So if you put these two things together, I think you're going to see more, not less bankruptcies.” View on YouTube
Explanation

US corporate bankruptcy filings did rise notably through 2025 relative to prior years amid elevated interest rates and post-pandemic-era loan maturities, broadly consistent with this prediction, though the trend's persistence over 'several years' is still ongoing and not yet fully resolved.

David Friedberg Too Early 01:19:54 healthscience

A first FDA-approved human drug whose primary mechanism of action is Yamanaka-factor-based cellular rejuvenation (reprogramming cells using modified OSKM-like proteins) will be approved in the United States roughly 7–12 years from 2025, i.e., between 2032 and 2037.

“Just knowing the clinical path there, I would say we're probably somewhere between 7 and 12 years away.” View on YouTube
Explanation

This is a 7-12 year-forward (2032-2037) prediction about FDA approval of a Yamanaka-factor rejuvenation drug that cannot be assessed this early.

Chamath Palihapitiya Too Early 01:20:13 healthscience

Within 3–4 years of 2025 (by roughly 2028–2029), some form of medical tourism will emerge in countries with looser regulation (e.g., Costa Rica or similar) offering Yamanaka-factor-style rejuvenation protein therapies to individuals, outside of standard U.S. clinical-trial channels.

“You think there's a version where people fly to Costa Rica? I'm making Costa Rica up. I'm just saying and can do something for themselves in the next 3 to 4 years.” View on YouTube
Explanation

This is a 3-4 year-forward (roughly 2028-2029) prediction about offshore medical tourism for rejuvenation therapies that cannot yet be evaluated.

David Sacks Wrong 01:27:07 politicseconomy

If Donald Trump is president again while Jerome Powell is Federal Reserve Chair, the Federal Reserve under Powell will not reduce the federal funds rate during Trump’s term, even though Powell was and would be willing to cut rates under Democratic administrations (Biden or a hypothetical Kamala Harris presidency).

“Too late pal. He'll cut for Biden. He'll cut for Yellen. He'll cut for Kamala. He will not cut for Trump.” View on YouTube
Explanation

The Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell did cut rates multiple times during Trump's second term, including cuts in September, October, and December 2025, contradicting the prediction that Powell would refuse to cut for Trump.